People keep asking me who I think Barack Obama will choose as his running mate and when it will happen. I’m not paid to give opinions, nor are my opinions likely worth much. But from a purely reporting standpoint, here are my hunches (thanks largely to the national reporting done on this topic).
Here’s what we know:
Delaware Senator Joe Biden (and former Prez candidate), Kansas Governor Kathleen Sebelius, Indiana Senator Evan Bayh and Virginia Governor Tim Kaine seem to be the four most-mentioned possibilities.
We know Obama is planning a big rally Saturday in Springfield, Illinois, the city where he announced his prez campaign. He is supposed to appear with his V.P. choice.
We know Obama will notify supporters via text message of his choice beforehand.
We know Obama has a two day travel trip in Virginia with supporters including Kaine.
Would Obama send out the text message before he concluded his Virginia trip? Doubtful.
Would Obama pick Kaine after already spending time with him on tour in Virginia and then campaign with him again Saturday? Doubtful.
Would Obama really pick Bayh–would he really think Bayh will deliver the Republican state of Indiana just by appearing on the ballot with him? Seems doubtful.
Would Obama really pick Sebelius on the day she is campaigning for him in Iowa? Seems doubtful.
By process of elimination, to me, that leaves Biden, who hasn’t been out campaigning for Obama this week. Of course, I could be wrong. Of course, Obama could also pick someone other than the four most often-mentioned people.