DES MOINES, Iowa - A new poll released Wednesday morning shows Republican Joni Ernst with a lead over Democrat Bruce Braley in the race for the U.S. Senate to replace Sen. Tom Harkin.
The poll, released by Quinnipiac University, shows Ernst with a 50-44 percent lead over Braley among likely voters.
Ernst leads among men, 56-39 percent, while Braley leads among woman by a 50-44 percent margin.
Among independent voters, Ernst leads Braley 50-43 percent.
"The tale of independent voters tells you all you need to know about the Iowa Senate race," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll. "These independents are perhaps the most important voter bloc in the electorate and State Sen. Joni Ernst is ahead 7 percentage points among them, just about her overall lead. The key to any comeback by U.S. Rep. Bruce Braley will be chipping away at her lead among independents.
From September 10 - 15, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,167 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Iowa and the nation as a public service and for research.