Flood Warning

Poll: Clinton, Trump Virtually Tied Headed into Debate

This is an archived article and the information in the article may be outdated. Please look at the time stamp on the story to see when it was last updated.


Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are virtually tied headed into their first presidential debate Monday night, a new ABC News/Washington Post poll shows.

The survey shows likely voters split 46% for Clinton and 44% for Trump — with 5% supporting Libertarian Gary Johnson and 1% backing the Green Party’s Jill Stein. That’s well within the poll’s 4.5 percentage point margin of error.

Among a broader group — registered voters — Clinton and Trump are tied at 41%, with Johnson at 7% and Stein at 2%.

The results show the race has tightened in recent weeks. In the same poll, Clinton led by 5 points in early September and by 8 points in early August.

A new CNN Poll of Polls incorporating the results of the new Post-ABC Poll finds the margin in an average of the five most recent polls holding at a three-point edge for Clinton, 43% back her, 40% Trump in that calculation.

There’s been a similar tightening in the key swing state of Pennsylvania, a new Allentown Morning Call/Muhlenberg College survey shows. That poll, released Sunday, has Clinton at 40% to Trump’s 38%, with Johnson at 8% and Stein at 3%. That’s a drop for Clinton, who led by 8 points in the same poll a week earlier.

The ABC News/Washington Post poll also underscored that the 9 p.m. ET Monday debate at Hofstra University in New York will be a crucial moment in the campaign for both candidates. Eight in 10 voters said they plan to watch the debate — with expectations slightly higher for Clinton, with 44% saying they expect her to win the debate while 34% expect Trump to win.

Jennifer Agiesta contributed to this report.

Notice: you are using an outdated browser. Microsoft does not recommend using IE as your default browser. Some features on this website, like video and images, might not work properly. For the best experience, please upgrade your browser.